Sunday, October 18, 2009

Week 6 Picks

Week 6 Picks

The Wow I Need to Get Back to Sleep Edition

REDSKINS -6 over Chiefs

Washington needs to make a statement game. Their O-Line can hold up against KC.

Giants +3 over SAINTS

The Giants are the most complete, most underrated, and overall best team in football right now. Their pass defense has allowed an unbelievable 61 less yards per game than the #2 ranked pass defense of the Carolina Panthers. Offensively, Eli Manning is making the best throws of his career and has earned a QB rating higher than anybody in the league not named Manning. The Saints need turnovers to stay in this one. The Giants are too well-coached to let the home crowd really affect them. It’s going to be a great game.

Panthers -3 over BUCS

Neither of these teams are as bad as their records indicate. Tampa Bay is getting much better every week. I think the Panthers are a better team even though I think Tampa is going to show up.

Browns +14 over STEELERS

Browns haven't been blown out since they gave DA the ball

Texans +5.5 over BENGALS

Houston needs this game too much. It’s about time to see some production out of the Texans’ rushing offense.

Ravens +3 over VIKINGS

A battle of two of the only three complete teams in football right now (the other one being the Giants). Baltimore is a better team. Big game for Joe Flacco.

Rams +10 over JAGUARS

Rams? I’m picking the Rams? In Jacksonville? After the Jags got whooped by Seattle? I better just move on before I change my mind.

Lions +14 over PACKERS

Jim Schwartz has done a great job changing the culture of this Detroit Lions football team. Without a healthy Calvin Johnson, Green Bay will get fewer possessions. 14 points is a lot in this one; it could go either way.

RAIDERS +15 over Eagles

Warning sign #1 about a trouble week coming in your NFL picks: 3 combined spreads add up to +39 for the teams I’ve picked. I think Antonio Pierce lit a fire under the Raider team just before the Eagles come to town. Oakland keeps this close in the first half, but I’m not siding with over 80% of the public this week. Oakland cannot afford to be embarrassed again.

Cardinals +3 over SEAHAWKS

I like Warner in this game. It’ll be exciting to see if Seattle actually does have a dynamic passing attack with the return of QB Matt Hasselbeck. Last week, he looked really good.

PATRIOTS -9 over Titans

This and the Eagles game in Oakland are the two games I hate most going into this week. I wouldn’t be surprised if Tennessee shows up and runs all over New England. That being said, a dominant running game is effective when you have a defense that can give the ball back to your offense without surrendering points. This Titans team isn’t there.

JETS -10 over Bills

Play the over.

Bears +3.5 over FALCONS

Chicago hasn’t gotten their credit. This is a very good Bears football team. Granted, so far their one loss has come on a Sunday Night game.

CHARGERS -3.5 over Broncos

The Chargers need this game to have a chance to win a division they should’ve locked up three months ago. Coaching disparities aside, San Diego will easily put up at least half of what Denver’s allowed the rest of the season. Denver has been very fortunate so far. They’ve yet to play against a good team playing well. This will be a real test on the road.

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