Rams 0
Bucs 25
Chiefs 1
Browns 4
Raiders 25
Lions 9
Panthers 16
Titans 25
Seahawks 16
Bills 16
Redskins 64
Dolphins 64
Texans 100
Cards 4
Jags 49
Cowboys 25
Chargers 100
Steelers 0
Bears 25
Packers 25
49ers 16
Bengals 36
Eagles 9
Falcons 4
Broncos 256
Ravens 25
Patriots 1
Jets 4
Saints 0
Vikings 100
Giants 1
Colts 289
Variance =1334
Standard Deviation = 6.46
By my own definition, this means that so far this season, my Week 2 power rankings have been worse than ESPN's. I'm predicting that this week's variance, 1334, is the highest the variance will get all season. But first allow my defense.
ESPN is absolutely crazy to place the Colts ahead of the Giants. Oddsmakers favor the #2 ranked Giants by 15.5 points at home against #28 Oakland. The #1 ranked colts are only giving a maximum of 4 points to the #25 Tennessee Titans. Even accounting for the differences, 11.5 points is saying an awful lot. The Ravens were placed too low. My Top 10 right now looks something like . Notice that none of my Top 10 teams have lost to either Indianapolis or Denver. Only Chicago and San Diego have lost to teams outside my Top 10. I'm expecting that San Diego is going to pick it up over the next few weeks. Enough's enough. Here are my Week 4 Power Rankings. Each team is given with their record and variance from ESPN's newest rankings.
1. New York Giants (4-0) 1
2. New Orleans Saints (4-0) 4
3. Baltimore Ravens (3-1) 16
4. Minnesota Vikings (4-0) 1
5. New York Jets (3-1) 0
6. Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) 16
7. New England Patriots (3-1) 1
8. Chicago Bears (3-1) 36
9. San Diego Chargers (2-2) 49
10. Indianapolis Colts (4-0) 81
11. Green Bay Packers (2-2) 4
12. Houston Texans (2-2) 64
13. Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) 4
14. Atlanta Falcons (2-1) 25
15. Dallas Cowboys (2-2) 4
16. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) 1
17. Denver Broncos (4-0) 81
18. Washington Redskins (2-2) 16
19. San Francisco 49ers (3-1) 49
20. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) 4
21. Tennessee Titans (0-4) 16
22. Carolina Panthers (0-3) 16
23. Arizona Cardinals (1-2) 16
24. Buffalo Bills (1-3) 1
25. Seattle Seahawks (1-3) 1
26. Detroit Lions (1-3) 1
27. Miami Dolphins (1-3) 36
28. Oakland Raiders (1-3) 0
29. Cleveland Browns (0-4) 0
30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4) 1
31. Kansas City Chiefs (0-4) 1
32. St. Louis Rams (0-4) 0
Variance between my Week 5 and ESPNs: 546
Standard Deviation: 4.13
Let's see what happens.
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