Thursday, January 7, 2010

Final Power Rankings

I spent today creating an eleven part statistical formula and tweaking it little by little until I was happy with the results. The formula is far from perfect; offenses and defenses are ranked based exclusively on my opinion. The formula doesn't take into account how much better a team is at a certain part of the game (i.e. Defense) than another team; it only uses their ranking relative to other teams. Another flaw is that the formula emphasizes games equally which means that a team would not get any more credit for beating the Titans in Week 12 than they would in Week 3. Likewise the Jets earned points for beating the Colts even though the Colts benched their starters. I made up for some inconsistencies by overcompensating on other elements of the formula. Still, I'm very happy with what I've created. It involves: offense (Saints #1), defense (Jets #1), potential (Vikings #1), consistency (Colts #1), the "X-Factor" (which combines coaching, special teams, explosiveness, and intensity and featured the Eagles at #1). Past my rankings, I also involved point differential, overall record, and strength of victory. I have my final power rankings, based on that formula. I've formatted it by listing the team followed by my ranking of them on offense, defense, and their score based on my formula. Please Enjoy.

Rams (32, 27, 7.5)
Bucs (27, 31, 8.9)
Lions (17, 32, 14.9)
Chiefs (26, 30, 14.9)

Seahawks (24, 28, 16.2)
Browns (31, 26, 18.8)
Raiders (29, 16, 26.4)
Redskins (30, 8, 31)

Bears (21, 25, 32.1)
Jaguars (13, 24, 36.4)
Bills (28, 10, 37)
Titans (14, 29, 41.5)

Dolphins (20, 21, 43.7)
Panthers (19, 18, 48.9)
Giants (5, 23, 57.4)
Broncos (23, 9, 59.2)

Falcons (13, 20, 60)
49ers (22, 3, 65.3)
Cardinals (12, 19, 67.3)
Texans (3, 22, 72.8)

Steelers (9, 15, 74.5)
Bengals (16, 4, 79)
Patriots (10, 17, 85.4)
Eagles (11, 13, 88.2)

Jets (25, 1, 88.9)
Ravens (18, 2, 92.2)
Chargers (7, 14, 106.5)
Packers (8, 5, 113.1)

Cowboys (4, 6, 113.3)
Colts (6, 12, 115.7)
Vikings (2, 7, 123.2)
Saints (1, 11, 126.2)

Playoff Preview is coming tomorrow.

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